| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$25 +15% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$23 +14% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 68¢ → 91¢ | $182 | +$46 +34% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 65¢ → 87¢ | $173 | +$43 +33% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 88¢ → 85¢ | $169 | −$7 −4.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 73¢ → 67¢ | $134 | −$12 −8.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 250 | 37¢ → 44¢ | $110 | +$18 +20% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$4 +4.5% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$6 +6.9% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 45¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$52 +115% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 56¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$40 +71% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 61¢ → 48¢ | $95 | −$27 −22% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 43¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$47 +110% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 51¢ → 41¢ | $81 | −$21 −21% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 54¢ → 34¢ | $67 | −$41 −38% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 29¢ | $58 | −$102 −64% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 99¢ | $50 | +$14 +38% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $49 | +$6 +14% |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$24 +97% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 43d | Yes | 50 | 57¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$21 +72% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$8 +20% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 50 | 40¢ → 93¢ | $46 | +$26 +131% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 47¢ → 21¢ | $41 | −$53 −56% |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 75¢ → 81¢ | $41 | +$3 +8.0% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $40 | +$4 +9.7% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$4 +10% |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 67¢ → 96¢ | $38 | +$12 +43% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $38 | +$3 +8.6% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 434d | Anthropic | 40 | 64¢ → 94¢ | $38 | +$12 +48% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $37 | +$5 +17% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 150 | 50¢ → 24¢ | $35 | −$40 −53% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 38 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $34 | +$6 +21% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 50 | 45¢ → 68¢ | $34 | +$11 +50% |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 35 | 67¢ → 95¢ | $34 | +$10 +42% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 61¢ → 17¢ | $33 | −$89 −73% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 200 | 25¢ → 15¢ | $29 | −$20 −41% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 40 | 63¢ → 70¢ | $28 | +$3 +10% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 29¢ → 14¢ | $27 | −$31 −53% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 50 | 79¢ → 53¢ | $27 | −$13 −33% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | Yes | 50 | 47¢ → 47¢ | $23 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 50 | 56¢ → 47¢ | $23 | −$5 −17% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 125 | 29¢ → 16¢ | $20 | −$17 −45% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 159d | Yes | 20 | 73¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$5 +36% |
| Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 52¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$9 +89% |
| Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$3 +15% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 20 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$3 +17% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 30 | 49¢ → 63¢ | $19 | +$4 +29% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$3 +18% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 68¢ → 60¢ | $18 | −$2 −12% |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 90¢ | $18 | +$3 +20% |
| Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?Ends in 1530d | No | 20 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $18 | +$1 +8.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $18 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$3 +18% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $16 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 55¢ → 33¢ | $16 | −$11 −41% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 20 | 54¢ → 80¢ | $16 | +$5 +47% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 56¢ → 32¢ | $16 | −$12 −44% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 100 | 33¢ → 16¢ | $16 | −$18 −53% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 20 | 45¢ → 61¢ | $12 | +$3 +34% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 32¢ → 6¢ | $12 | −$52 −81% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 50 | 41¢ → 24¢ | $12 | −$9 −42% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 50 | 74¢ → 23¢ | $12 | −$25 −68% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 33¢ → 23¢ | $11 | −$5 −32% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 54¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$44 −82% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Ends in 27d | No | 10 | 77¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +26% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 87¢ → 23¢ | $9 | −$25 −73% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 100 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $9 | −$3 −22% |
| Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 85d | Yes | 36 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $9 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 77¢ → 41¢ | $8 | −$7 −47% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 20 | 61¢ → 40¢ | $8 | −$4 −35% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 24¢ → 8¢ | $8 | −$17 −69% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 71¢ → 4¢ | $7 | −$136 −95% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 70¢ → 3¢ | $7 | −$133 −95% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 66¢ | $7 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$2 −23% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 85¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$13 −74% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 28¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$1 −20% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 63¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$59 −94% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 33¢ → 8¢ | $4 | −$13 −76% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 52¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$7 −63% |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 57¢ → 7¢ | $3 | −$20 −88% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 37¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$17 −92% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 329 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$25 −97% |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 62¢ → 15¢ | $1 | −$3 −76% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 17¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −68% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 70 | 24¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$16 −97% |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$2 −82% |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 50 | 28¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?Ends in 20d | Yes | 20 | 43¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$470 −100% |
| Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 5.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 100 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$280 −100% |
| Winston-Salem Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Luciano DarderiSettled - ready to redeem | Luciano Darderi | 100 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| US Open WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Amanda AnisimovaSettled - ready to redeem | Amanda Anisimova | 200 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles AngelsSettled - ready to redeem | Los Angeles Angels | 100 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Aziz DougazSettled - ready to redeem | Kyrian Jacquet | 100 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
