| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 1,187 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $1,098 | +$54 +5.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,350 | 66¢ → 77¢ | $1,037 | +$149 +17% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 1,010 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $944 | +$164 +21% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 809 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $770 | +$132 +21% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 1,060 | 58¢ → 68¢ | $716 | +$101 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 709 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $656 | +$35 +5.6% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 670 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $646 | +$87 +15% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 43d | Yes | 605 | 72¢ → 98¢ | $594 | +$156 +36% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 589 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $571 | +$80 +16% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 708 | 62¢ → 60¢ | $421 | −$21 −4.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 466 | 61¢ → 89¢ | $413 | +$128 +45% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 440 | 69¢ → 94¢ | $411 | +$108 +35% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $366 | +$24 +6.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 412 | 67¢ → 80¢ | $327 | +$51 +18% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 353 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $327 | +$9 +2.8% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 369 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $301 | +$31 +11% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 380 | 61¢ → 79¢ | $300 | +$68 +30% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 434d | Anthropic | 300 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $283 | +$29 +11% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 290 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $279 | +$35 +14% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 302 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $279 | +$21 +8.3% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 99d | Yes | 284 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $274 | +$38 +16% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 407 | 58¢ → 61¢ | $246 | +$11 +4.7% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 68¢ → 82¢ | $245 | +$41 +20% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $241 | +$36 +18% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 515 | 43¢ → 44¢ | $227 | +$4 +1.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 225 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $215 | +$19 +9.8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $198 | +$16 +9.0% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 159d | Yes | 200 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $198 | +$28 +17% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $197 | +$13 +7.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 68¢ → 97¢ | $195 | +$59 +43% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 255 | 49¢ → 75¢ | $191 | +$65 +52% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$5 +2.7% |
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 221 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $189 | +$11 +6.2% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 190 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $184 | +$25 +15% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 434d | Yes | 200 | 75¢ → 90¢ | $180 | +$30 +20% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $179 | +$7 +4.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 170 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $169 | +$15 +9.4% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 335 | 51¢ → 49¢ | $165 | −$6 −3.3% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $162 | +$10 +6.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $161 | +$13 +8.4% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 200 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $160 | −$2 −1.2% |
| Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 203 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $159 | +$25 +18% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 183 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $148 | +$4 +2.6% |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Ends in 3d | No change | 150 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $147 | +$34 +30% |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 154 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $143 | +$10 +7.2% |
| Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $143 | +$6 +4.4% |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $143 | +$6 +4.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 663 | 51¢ → 21¢ | $142 | −$193 −58% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?Ends in 250d | No | 150 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $140 | +$11 +8.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 150 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $137 | +$19 +16% |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $131 | −$5 −3.8% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 170 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $130 | +$3 +2.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 141 | 71¢ → 91¢ | $128 | +$28 +28% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 170 | 92¢ → 70¢ | $119 | −$37 −24% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 120 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $113 | +$7 +6.2% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 159d | No | 119 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $111 | +$11 +11% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 120 | 74¢ → 92¢ | $111 | +$22 +25% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Ends in 68d | Yes | 396 | 27¢ → 28¢ | $109 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Ends in 69d | No | 115 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $108 | +$8 +8.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 150 | 65¢ → 72¢ | $108 | +$11 +11% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 150 | 90¢ → 69¢ | $104 | −$32 −23% |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Ends in 57d | Avengers: Doomsday | 106 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $104 | +$18 +21% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 150 | 79¢ → 68¢ | $102 | −$16 −14% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 300 | 82¢ → 34¢ | $101 | −$146 −59% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$3 +3.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$8 +9.1% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$13 +16% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$4 +4.2% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 56¢ → 63¢ | $95 | +$11 +13% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 536 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $94 | −$5 −5.1% |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Ends in 100d | Yes | 200 | 71¢ → 46¢ | $92 | −$49 −35% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $91 | +$6 +7.3% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$16 +21% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 349 | 41¢ → 26¢ | $89 | −$54 −38% |
| Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Ends in 250d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $87 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $86 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 96 | 64¢ → 88¢ | $84 | +$22 +36% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $84 | −$2 −1.8% |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Ends in 819d | Yes | 100 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $79 | +$13 +19% |
| SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?Ends in 434d | SpaceX | 100 | 93¢ → 76¢ | $76 | −$17 −19% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 473 | 16¢ → 15¢ | $73 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 100 | 84¢ → 72¢ | $72 | −$13 −15% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 70 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $69 | +$8 +14% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 70 | 53¢ → 99¢ | $69 | +$32 +87% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 70 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $69 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 140 | 60¢ → 45¢ | $62 | −$21 −25% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 104 | 48¢ → 54¢ | $56 | +$6 +11% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $45 | +$2 +4.0% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | No | 200 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $45 | −$2 −4.3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 220 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $44 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $42 | +$3 +8.3% |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Ends in 189d | Yes | 150 | 23¢ → 28¢ | $41 | +$7 +20% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $37 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 50 | 84¢ → 65¢ | $33 | −$10 −23% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 220 | 18¢ → 15¢ | $32 | −$8 −20% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 32 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $31 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Ends in 189d | Yes | 150 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $30 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 158 | 35¢ → 19¢ | $29 | −$26 −47% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 53¢ → 26¢ | $25 | −$27 −52% |
| Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Ends in 189d | Yes | 150 | 21¢ → 17¢ | $25 | −$7 −21% |
