| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 205 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $194 | +$7 +4.0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 126 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $107 | −$1 −0.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 92 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $83 | +$2 +2.8% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Ends in 68d | Yes | 302 | 27¢ → 24¢ | $74 | −$9 −11% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 75 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $70 | +$6 +8.7% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 81 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $65 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 92 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $55 | −$0 −0.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 66 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $54 | +$3 +6.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 15d | No | 96 | 41¢ → 40¢ | $39 | −$1 −2.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 4d | Yes | 31 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $27 | +$4 +15% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 2d | No | 80 | 33¢ → 34¢ | $27 | +$0 +1.5% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 23 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.0% |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 433d | No | 25 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $19 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | No | 36 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $17 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 10d | No | 33 | 34¢ → 35¢ | $12 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | No | 26 | 31¢ → 31¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?Ends in 22d | No | 12 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $7 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 17 | 50¢ → 38¢ | $6 | −$2 −23% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 10 | 58¢ → 65¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 1d | No | 9 | 54¢ → 62¢ | $6 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 22d | No | 12 | 44¢ → 44¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.8% |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 55 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$2 −36% |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Ends ended | No | 50 | 52¢ → 8¢ | $4 | −$22 −85% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 1d | No | 10 | 33¢ → 35¢ | $3 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 12 | 42¢ → 20¢ | $2 | −$3 −54% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 1d | Yes | 6 | 33¢ → 35¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 71 | 30¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$19 −91% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 79 | 41¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$30 −94% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 10d | Yes | 6 | 26¢ → 27¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?Ends in 127d | No | 3 | 20¢ → 45¢ | $1 | +$1 +125% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 41 | 51¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$20 −95% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 3 | 43¢ → 43¢ | $1 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 3 | 36¢ → 41¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 48¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +78% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4 | 51¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$2 −70% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96?Ends in 67d | No | 2 | 41¢ → 26¢ | $1 | −$0 −38% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 127d | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$1 −69% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 11h | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → 12¢ | $0 | −$0 −47% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4 | 26¢ → 12¢ | $0 | −$1 −56% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 11h | No | 1 | 39¢ → 40¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 1 | 52¢ → 41¢ | $0 | −$0 −22% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 2 | 71¢ → 18¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 1 | 27¢ → 29¢ | $0 | +$0 +5.8% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 128d | Yes | 2 | 70¢ → 13¢ | $0 | −$1 −81% |
| Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3 | 5¢ → 9¢ | $0 | +$0 +69% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4 | 14¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$0 −61% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 67d | No | 1 | 27¢ → 19¢ | $0 | −$0 −32% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4 | 14¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −66% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2 | 25¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$0 −65% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends ended | Yes | 3 | 36¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$1 −81% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 11h | Yes | 1 | 21¢ → 13¢ | $0 | −$0 −38% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −61% |
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −91% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1 | 42¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$0 −80% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1 | 48¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$0 −83% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 11h | Yes | 10 | 18¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −60% |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −99% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of July 27 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 39 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 31 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.0 and 40.5 million views on day 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Françoise Faverjon-Fortin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 64 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on July 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will "Verity" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of July 27 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Crazy" during remarks in New York?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Outside" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 56 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
