| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 527 | 69¢ → 72¢ | $377 | +$12 +3.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 395 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $326 | +$26 +8.7% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 282 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $216 | −$16 −7.1% |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 215 | 83¢ → 90¢ | $193 | +$14 +7.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 251 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $192 | −$9 −4.4% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 176 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $170 | +$20 +13% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 170 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $164 | +$37 +30% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 175 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $147 | −$3 −1.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 166 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $138 | −$6 −3.8% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 125 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $123 | +$13 +12% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 163 | 80¢ → 75¢ | $123 | −$8 −5.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 145 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $120 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 129 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $119 | +$13 +12% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 124 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $114 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 116 | 66¢ → 95¢ | $110 | +$33 +43% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 126 | 68¢ → 86¢ | $109 | +$22 +26% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 146 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $102 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 104 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $102 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 114 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $99 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$8 +8.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 101 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $88 | +$17 +24% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 132 | 76¢ → 64¢ | $84 | −$16 −16% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $83 | +$8 +11% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 86 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $80 | +$16 +25% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 84 | 53¢ → 93¢ | $78 | +$33 +74% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 140 | 72¢ → 54¢ | $75 | −$26 −25% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 105 | 80¢ → 68¢ | $71 | −$13 −15% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 82 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $62 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 426 | 30¢ → 15¢ | $62 | −$64 −51% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 67 | 76¢ → 87¢ | $58 | +$7 +14% |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 62 | 78¢ → 88¢ | $55 | +$6 +12% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 61 | 69¢ → 86¢ | $52 | +$10 +25% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 76 | 63¢ → 66¢ | $50 | +$2 +4.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 81 | 62¢ → 62¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 59 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $48 | +$3 +7.0% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 49 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $47 | +$8 +20% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 51 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $46 | +$5 +13% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 58 | 60¢ → 77¢ | $45 | +$9 +27% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 62 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $44 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 47 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $44 | +$8 +22% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 63¢ → 43¢ | $43 | −$20 −32% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 50 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $40 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 55 | 55¢ → 70¢ | $38 | +$8 +26% |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 42 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $37 | +$2 +6.7% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 41 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $35 | +$4 +14% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 40 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $35 | +$3 +11% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 56 | 66¢ → 62¢ | $35 | −$2 −6.2% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 35 | 77¢ → 97¢ | $34 | +$7 +26% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 63 | 70¢ → 53¢ | $33 | −$11 −25% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $32 | +$2 +6.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 33 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $31 | +$3 +9.1% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 56¢ → 85¢ | $30 | +$10 +51% |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 30 | 70¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$8 +38% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 36 | 63¢ → 78¢ | $28 | +$5 +23% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 29 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $28 | +$5 +21% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 29 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $27 | +$4 +17% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 28 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $26 | +$3 +13% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | Yes | 58 | 36¢ → 43¢ | $25 | +$4 +17% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 139 | 15¢ → 18¢ | $24 | +$3 +16% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 25 | 66¢ → 92¢ | $23 | +$6 +38% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 26 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $23 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 84 | 62¢ → 26¢ | $22 | −$30 −59% |
| Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Ends in 218d | Yes | 137 | 7¢ → 15¢ | $20 | +$10 +102% |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$3 +22% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 250d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 18 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $17 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $17 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 72¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$4 +35% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 174 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $16 | −$16 −50% |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 18 | 55¢ → 88¢ | $16 | +$6 +59% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 16 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $16 | +$3 +20% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 31 | 65¢ → 48¢ | $15 | −$5 −26% |
| Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Ends in 218d | Yes | 327 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $14 | +$4 +42% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 75¢ → 80¢ | $14 | +$1 +6.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 79¢ → 46¢ | $14 | −$10 −42% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $13 | +$2 +22% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $13 | +$1 +11% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 99d | Yes | 13 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $13 | +$2 +17% |
| Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $13 | +$1 +5.8% |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?Ends in 425d | Yes | 15 | 72¢ → 83¢ | $13 | +$2 +15% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 15 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $11 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 33 | 60¢ → 31¢ | $10 | −$10 −49% |
| Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +8.4% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$2 +21% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 16 | 61¢ → 57¢ | $9 | −$1 −6.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 52 | 58¢ → 12¢ | $6 | −$24 −80% |
| Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 11d | Yes | 22 | 55¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$7 −57% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 21 | 63¢ → 17¢ | $3 | −$10 −74% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$11 −81% |
| Will Jerome Powell be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Ends in 800d | No | 2 | 56¢ → 48¢ | $1 | −$0 −15% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 33 | 70¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$22 −98% |
| Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Ends in 799d | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$1 −57% |
| Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Naples: Matteo Martineau vs Michele RibecaiSettled - ready to redeem | Matteo Martineau | 75 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
