| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 172 | 29¢ → 26¢ | $44 | −$6 −12% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 122 | 41¢ → 36¢ | $43 | −$7 −13% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 35 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $33 | +$3 +9.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 60 | 36¢ → 33¢ | $20 | −$2 −11% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 12 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $11 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 11 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 64¢ | $6 | +$0 +3.7% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $6 | +$1 +23% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 5 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 6 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 18 | 28¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$0 −8.9% |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $4 | +$0 +8.5% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 5 | 59¢ → 71¢ | $4 | +$1 +20% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 3 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $3 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 10 | 68¢ → 30¢ | $3 | −$4 −57% |
| Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 10d | No | 3 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 5 | 62¢ → 60¢ | $3 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?Ends in 7d | No | 2 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.4% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 217d | No | 2 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | No | 3 | 65¢ → 68¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 2 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $2 | −$0 −3.0% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 2 | 96¢ → 92¢ | $2 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 2 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $2 | −$0 −5.5% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2 | 89¢ → 77¢ | $2 | −$0 −14% |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 71¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +36% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 1 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +21% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| Japan recession in 2026?Ends in 188d | No | 1 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 82¢ → 31¢ | $1 | −$2 −62% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4 | 69¢ → 25¢ | $1 | −$2 −64% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 1 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 57¢ → 20¢ | $1 | −$2 −66% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?Ends in 7d | No | 1 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?Ends in 7d | No | 1 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.1% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 1 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 1 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 1 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | No | 1 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 1 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 1 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 1 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 1 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeEnds in 68d | No | 1 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.5% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $1 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 1 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 45d | No | 1 | 99¢ → 97¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Ends in 7d | No | 1 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 1 | 96¢ → 92¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 2 | 61¢ → 53¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 1 | 98¢ → 85¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 92¢ → 74¢ | $1 | −$0 −20% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 2 | 61¢ → 47¢ | $1 | −$0 −23% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 82¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$4 −86% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3 | 76¢ → 26¢ | $1 | −$1 −66% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 8 | 36¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$3 −85% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$2 −78% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1 | 78¢ → 34¢ | $0 | −$1 −57% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$1 −57% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 1 | 73¢ → 27¢ | $0 | −$1 −64% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −87% |
| Jamal Musiala: 1+ goalsSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 3 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 6 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
