| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 131 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $107 | +$2 +1.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 91 | 65¢ → 87¢ | $79 | +$20 +33% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 91 | 42¢ → 85¢ | $77 | +$39 +102% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 75 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $71 | +$11 +18% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 72 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $70 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 71 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $69 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 78 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $67 | +$7 +12% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 82 | 69¢ → 78¢ | $64 | +$7 +12% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 66 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $63 | +$4 +6.5% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 65 | 40¢ → 91¢ | $59 | +$34 +129% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 62 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $58 | +$8 +16% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 58 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $55 | +$2 +4.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 72 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $54 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 49 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $49 | +$9 +23% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 215 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $48 | −$9 −15% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 48 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $47 | +$3 +6.9% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 57 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $45 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 42 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $41 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 45 | 70¢ → 90¢ | $40 | +$9 +27% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 40 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 43 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $39 | +$2 +6.4% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 67d | Yes | 48 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $39 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 38 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $37 | +$4 +11% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 799d | Yes | 206 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $36 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 57 | 62¢ → 62¢ | $35 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 37 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $34 | +$4 +15% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | Yes | 59 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $33 | −$1 −2.4% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 202 | 26¢ → 16¢ | $32 | −$20 −39% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 34 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $32 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 36 | 72¢ → 90¢ | $32 | +$6 +25% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 32 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $31 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 303 | 16¢ → 10¢ | $31 | −$18 −37% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 47 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 32 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 524d | No | 31 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | No | 35 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $28 | +$10 +59% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 306 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $27 | −$43 −61% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 799d | Yes | 148 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $24 | +$2 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 26 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $24 | +$4 +19% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 28 | 55¢ → 79¢ | $22 | +$6 +43% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 63 | 61¢ → 34¢ | $21 | −$17 −45% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 22 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $21 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 207 | 28¢ → 10¢ | $21 | −$37 −64% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $20 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 21 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 9¢ → 10¢ | $19 | +$1 +5.5% |
| Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 83¢ | $17 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | No | 18 | 58¢ → 92¢ | $17 | +$6 +58% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 78¢ | $16 | +$8 +99% |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 16 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 17 | 98¢ → 87¢ | $15 | −$2 −11% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 15 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 260 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $14 | −$4 −20% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 38¢ → 66¢ | $13 | +$6 +75% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 524d | Yes | 170 | 6¢ → 8¢ | $13 | +$3 +26% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 60 | 27¢ → 21¢ | $12 | −$4 −23% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 13 | 79¢ → 91¢ | $12 | +$2 +15% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 76 | 26¢ → 16¢ | $12 | −$8 −40% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 10d | No | 15 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $11 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 34 | 46¢ → 31¢ | $10 | −$5 −33% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 11 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 433d | Yes | 40 | 29¢ → 26¢ | $10 | −$1 −10% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 11 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 71 | 46¢ → 13¢ | $9 | −$23 −72% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 78 | 44¢ → 12¢ | $9 | −$25 −74% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 68d | No | 11 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.1% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 9 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 74¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 5%-10%?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 75¢ | $7 | −$1 −14% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 35 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $7 | −$10 −59% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 7 | 64¢ → 95¢ | $7 | +$2 +48% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 20 | 44¢ → 35¢ | $7 | −$2 −21% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 8 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $7 | +$1 +8.4% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 30¢ → 14¢ | $7 | −$8 −55% |
| Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 72¢ → 93¢ | $7 | +$1 +29% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 71 | 43¢ → 9¢ | $6 | −$24 −79% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 43 | 30¢ → 14¢ | $6 | −$7 −52% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 40 | 13¢ → 15¢ | $6 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 49 | 31¢ → 12¢ | $6 | −$9 −61% |
| Cornell President out by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 6 | 54¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$3 +79% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 18 | 43¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$2 −26% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 9 | 44¢ → 60¢ | $5 | +$1 +36% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 11 | 46¢ → 48¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 25 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 121 | 26¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$26 −84% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 7 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Sekhopi Malebo be the next mayor of Mangaung?Ends in 11d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 37¢ → 83¢ | $5 | +$3 +124% |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 5 | 48¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$2 +89% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Jayden Maiava be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?Ends in 71d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 87¢ | $4 | −$0 −7.6% |
| Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 5 | 59¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$1 +46% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 51 | 23¢ → 8¢ | $4 | −$8 −64% |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 46¢ → 44¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 73¢ → 81¢ | $4 | +$0 +11% |
