| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Ends ended | No | 10 | 87¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$1 +14% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$1 +14% |
| Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 10 | 68¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$3 +45% |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 10 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +29% |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?Ends in 114d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.6% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.0% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$2 +22% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 40¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$5 +133% |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$1 +15% |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$3 +51% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 281d | No | 10 | 49¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$4 +88% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 2h | No | 10 | 50¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$4 +84% |
| Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Ends in 1d | No | 10 | 67¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$2 +37% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 27¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$6 +239% |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$3 +42% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 67¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$2 +29% |
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | No | 10 | 53¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$3 +62% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 10 | 80¢ → 85¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.7% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$1 +11% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 47d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$1 +9.3% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 56¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$2 +44% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$1 +17% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 8 | 79¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$2 +26% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $8 | −$1 −7.1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 10 | 48¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$3 +64% |
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$1 +19% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | No | 10 | 22¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$6 +255% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 43¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$4 +81% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | No | 10 | 24¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$5 +218% |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Ends in 158d | No | 8 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $8 | +$1 +9.1% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends ended | No | 8 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 10 | 52¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$2 +47% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 52¢ → 73¢ | $7 | +$2 +39% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 8 | 91¢ → 89¢ | $7 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | No | 10 | 66¢ → 71¢ | $7 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 70¢ | $7 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | No | 8 | 67¢ → 87¢ | $7 | +$2 +30% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 9 | 35¢ → 79¢ | $7 | +$4 +124% |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 63¢ → 94¢ | $7 | +$2 +48% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 9 | 93¢ → 78¢ | $7 | −$1 −16% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 32¢ → 68¢ | $7 | +$4 +111% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 7 | 17¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$6 +487% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $7 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 66¢ | $7 | −$1 −7.0% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 66¢ | $7 | −$1 −11% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 65¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.7% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 69¢ → 64¢ | $6 | −$0 −7.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 69¢ → 34¢ | $6 | −$6 −50% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 64¢ | $6 | −$2 −23% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 57¢ → 63¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 29¢ → 63¢ | $6 | +$3 +117% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $6 | −$0 −4.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 30d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 62¢ | $6 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | Yes | 10 | 45¢ → 62¢ | $6 | +$2 +37% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 60¢ → 73¢ | $6 | +$1 +21% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 32¢ → 59¢ | $6 | +$3 +83% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?Ends in 1d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 59¢ | $6 | −$0 −4.1% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 10 | 60¢ → 56¢ | $6 | −$0 −6.7% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 6 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $6 | +$1 +13% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 10 | 70¢ → 55¢ | $6 | −$2 −21% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 70¢ → 83¢ | $5 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | No | 10 | 56¢ → 53¢ | $5 | −$0 −5.4% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 24d | No | 10 | 20¢ → 51¢ | $5 | +$3 +153% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $5 | −$0 −5.3% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 51¢ | $5 | −$1 −20% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 10 | 48¢ → 50¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.2% |
| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 6 | 58¢ → 82¢ | $5 | +$1 +41% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?Ends in 1d | Yes | 10 | 21¢ → 49¢ | $5 | +$3 +133% |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 6 | 59¢ → 80¢ | $5 | +$1 +35% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 45¢ → 47¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 2d | No | 7 | 66¢ → 69¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 10 | 48¢ → 44¢ | $4 | −$0 −8.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 43¢ | $4 | −$1 −20% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 24¢ → 43¢ | $4 | +$2 +77% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 10 | 47¢ → 43¢ | $4 | −$0 −9.6% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 8 | 44¢ → 51¢ | $4 | +$1 +15% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 40¢ → 42¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 57¢ → 41¢ | $4 | −$2 −29% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 4 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$1 +27% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 2d | No | 6 | 70¢ → 67¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.3% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 8 | 49¢ → 50¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Ends in 78d | No | 10 | 49¢ → 39¢ | $4 | −$1 −21% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 27¢ → 39¢ | $4 | +$1 +43% |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 48¢ → 38¢ | $4 | −$1 −21% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 61¢ → 63¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 14¢ → 38¢ | $4 | +$2 +168% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 8 | 70¢ → 47¢ | $4 | −$2 −34% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 33d | No | 5 | 41¢ → 74¢ | $4 | +$2 +79% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 9 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Ends ended | No | 10 | 11¢ → 36¢ | $4 | +$3 +243% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 10 | 49¢ → 36¢ | $4 | −$1 −27% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 34¢ → 36¢ | $4 | +$0 +5.9% |
