| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 4,992 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $165 | +$138 +506% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 20¢ → 76¢ | $152 | +$112 +279% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,700 | 5¢ → 9¢ | $149 | +$56 +60% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 649 | 4¢ → 23¢ | $146 | +$122 +503% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,850 | 4¢ → 8¢ | $139 | +$56 +67% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 255 | 7¢ → 46¢ | $118 | +$100 +560% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4,372 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $114 | +$69 +153% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 24,550 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $110 | −$11 −9.1% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 800 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $108 | −$11 −9.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 450 | 15¢ → 24¢ | $106 | +$37 +53% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 3¢ → 52¢ | $104 | +$97 +1589% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 700 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $102 | +$33 +49% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 4¢ → 20¢ | $100 | +$81 +424% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,700 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $96 | −$49 −34% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 3,000 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $92 | +$72 +373% |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 10,750 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $91 | +$39 +75% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4,253 | <1¢ → 2¢ | $87 | +$69 +369% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$81 +1560% |
| Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 750 | 8¢ → 11¢ | $82 | +$24 +41% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 451 | 4¢ → 18¢ | $82 | +$62 +321% |
| Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | No | 250 | 2¢ → 32¢ | $79 | +$74 +1561% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 7,500 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $79 | +$8 +12% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 217 | 5¢ → 36¢ | $77 | +$66 +610% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 350 | 14¢ → 21¢ | $73 | +$22 +44% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 600 | 4¢ → 12¢ | $72 | +$48 +197% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6,050 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $70 | +$30 +75% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,900 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $66 | −$52 −44% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 250 | 18¢ → 26¢ | $65 | +$20 +44% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2,303 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $63 | +$20 +47% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | No | 200 | 21¢ → 32¢ | $63 | +$21 +50% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 700 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $62 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,661 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $61 | +$9 +17% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 900 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $58 | −$17 −23% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,600 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $58 | +$9 +18% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 600 | 7¢ → 10¢ | $57 | +$17 +43% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6,000 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $57 | −$3 −5.0% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 5,650 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $56 | −$4 −5.9% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,450 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $56 | −$27 −32% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 4¢ → 19¢ | $56 | +$44 +362% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 7,400 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $55 | −$29 −34% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 500 | 15¢ → 11¢ | $53 | −$22 −30% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 8,000 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $52 | +$32 +162% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 250 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $49 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 200 | 13¢ → 24¢ | $47 | +$21 +84% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 550 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $47 | −$33 −42% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 500 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $46 | +$3 +6.4% |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 11,418 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $46 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,450 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $45 | +$20 +78% |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 17,800 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $45 | +$14 +47% |
| Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | No | 129 | 3¢ → 34¢ | $44 | +$41 +1104% |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Ends ended | No | 267 | 3¢ → 17¢ | $44 | +$35 +409% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 6,239 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $44 | −$47 −52% |
| Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | Yes | 3,509 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $42 | +$20 +92% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,300 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $42 | +$23 +125% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 985 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $41 | +$34 +467% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,250 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $40 | −$2 −5.2% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 226 | 12¢ → 18¢ | $40 | +$11 +41% |
| Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 4,000 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $38 | +$30 +375% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,200 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $38 | −$88 −70% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 650 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $36 | −$2 −4.4% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 250 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $36 | +$11 +45% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 36¢ | $36 | +$16 +80% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 103 | 5¢ → 34¢ | $35 | +$30 +580% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 250 | 4¢ → 14¢ | $35 | +$24 +238% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 6,294 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $35 | −$7 −16% |
| Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 850 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $34 | −$21 −38% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 250 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $34 | −$16 −32% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 400 | 14¢ → 9¢ | $34 | −$20 −37% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 8,463 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $34 | +$11 +49% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 350 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $33 | −$6 −16% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,996 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $33 | −$16 −32% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,300 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $33 | −$28 −46% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 2,500 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $32 | −$3 −9.7% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 4,995 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $32 | −$10 −24% |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | Yes | 1,550 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $32 | +$12 +58% |
| Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Ends ended | No | 100 | 3¢ → 32¢ | $32 | +$28 +918% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 300 | 10¢ → 11¢ | $32 | +$2 +5.0% |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 7,750 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $31 | −$12 −28% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,500 | <1¢ → 2¢ | $31 | +$26 +583% |
| Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | Yes | 1,300 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $31 | −$13 −30% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 700 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $30 | +$21 +210% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 275 | 5¢ → 11¢ | $30 | +$17 +120% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 7d | Yes | 550 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $30 | +$3 +10% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | Yes | 400 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $30 | +$10 +50% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 19,384 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $29 | +$4 +15% |
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 442 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $29 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,248 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $29 | +$21 +289% |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5,203 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $29 | +$12 +75% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 8,150 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $29 | −$17 −37% |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 18,998 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $28 | −$2 −7.3% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,382 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $28 | +$15 +117% |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,029 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $28 | +$17 +153% |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 28,192 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $28 | −$20 −41% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 676 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $28 | −$3 −9.8% |
| Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 11,150 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $28 | +$1 +5.5% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 700 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $28 | +$9 +52% |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 3,445 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $28 | −$9 −25% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $28 | −$24 −46% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 2,750 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $27 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 550 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $27 | −$12 −30% |
