| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 837 | 70¢ → 83¢ | $690 | +$103 +18% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 350 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $345 | +$33 +11% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 345 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $326 | +$5 +1.5% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 321 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $286 | +$16 +6.1% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 279 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $272 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 265 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $219 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 212 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $203 | −$1 −0.4% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 206 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $175 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 170 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $163 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 160 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $155 | +$11 +7.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 180 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $138 | +$2 +1.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 145 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $136 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 170 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $132 | −$8 −6.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 135 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $131 | +$4 +3.3% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 43d | Yes | 129 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $126 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 126 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $109 | +$9 +8.7% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 109 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $103 | +$3 +3.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 97 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $89 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 90 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $82 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 95 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $81 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 90 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $74 | −$1 −1.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 70 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $65 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 80 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $61 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | No | 66 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $58 | +$8 +16% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $57 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 61 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $54 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Ends in 47d | Yes | 65 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $52 | −$3 −5.7% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 55 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $51 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 55 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $50 | $0 0.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | Yes | 66 | 64¢ → 72¢ | $47 | +$5 +11% |
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 49 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $46 | +$2 +4.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 45 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $44 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 55 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $39 | +$2 +5.4% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 39 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $38 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 23h | Yes | 48 | 63¢ → 69¢ | $33 | +$3 +9.2% |
| Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Ends in 249d | Yes | 35 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $33 | +$3 +9.1% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | Yes | 40 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $32 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Ends in 23h | Yes | 35 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $32 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 65 | 43¢ → 46¢ | $30 | +$2 +8.7% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?Ends in 54d | Yes | 50 | 64¢ → 59¢ | $30 | −$2 −7.6% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 35 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $27 | +$1 +2.5% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 31 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $27 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 410 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $27 | −$41 −61% |
| Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?Ends ended | Yes | 27 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $26 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | No | 26 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $25 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 55 | 49¢ → 46¢ | $25 | −$2 −6.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 26 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $24 | +$1 +3.7% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 71 | 78¢ → 32¢ | $23 | −$33 −59% |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 23h | Yes | 20 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$2 +11% |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 25 | 67¢ → 79¢ | $20 | +$3 +18% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 28 | 55¢ → 70¢ | $20 | +$4 +27% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$0 +2.1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 23h | Yes | 20 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$2 +10% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $17 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 17 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $17 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.4% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $16 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 25 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $16 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 46d | Yes | 30 | 51¢ → 53¢ | $16 | +$1 +4.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $15 | −$1 −7.0% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 80 | 67¢ → 19¢ | $15 | −$38 −72% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 46d | Yes | 35 | 46¢ → 43¢ | $15 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $15 | +$1 +4.6% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $15 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 55d | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $14 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $14 | +$1 +7.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $14 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Ends ended | Yes | 14 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $13 | +$2 +22% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $13 | +$1 +5.6% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 65¢ | $13 | −$1 −7.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 61 | 19¢ → 21¢ | $13 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $13 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 13 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $13 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $13 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Ends in 23h | Yes | 14 | 62¢ → 85¢ | $12 | +$3 +36% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 59¢ → 57¢ | $12 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Ends in 13d | Yes | 30 | 41¢ → 37¢ | $11 | −$1 −10% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 20 | 66¢ → 49¢ | $10 | −$3 −26% |
| Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Ends in 249d | Yes | 10 | 61¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$4 +58% |
| Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Ends in 249d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will Jiří Veselka be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | No | 10 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.2% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 97 | 9¢ → 10¢ | $9 | +$1 +9.0% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 11 | 35¢ → 80¢ | $9 | +$5 +128% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Ends in 13d | Yes | 30 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $9 | −$1 −10.0% |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 8 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $7 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 62¢ → 71¢ | $7 | +$1 +15% |
