| Will France pass a national budget by December 31?Ends in 67d | No | 159 | 53¢ → 47¢ | $74 | −$10 −12% |
| Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 175d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 28 | 54¢ → 66¢ | $18 | +$3 +23% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 23 | 71¢ → 77¢ | $18 | +$1 +8.4% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 13 | 38¢ → 91¢ | $12 | +$7 +138% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 249d | No | 15 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $12 | +$2 +19% |
| Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 43¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$5 +121% |
| Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 249d | Yes | 10 | 46¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$4 +88% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Ends in 433d | Yes | 10 | 37¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$5 +128% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Ends in 88d | No | 6 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$1 +20% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 6 | 77¢ → 91¢ | $6 | +$1 +18% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 5 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 71d | No | 5 | 56¢ → 90¢ | $5 | +$2 +60% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 54¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$2 +69% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 46¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$2 +99% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 44¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$2 +108% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 49¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$2 +74% |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 77¢ → 98¢ | $4 | +$1 +27% |
| Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?Ends in 433d | No | 6 | 38¢ → 59¢ | $4 | +$1 +54% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 45¢ → 60¢ | $3 | +$1 +32% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 68d | No | 7 | 74¢ → 44¢ | $3 | −$2 −41% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 29 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $3 | −$2 −44% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 249d | No | 5 | 41¢ → 46¢ | $2 | +$0 +12% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 11 | 47¢ → 21¢ | $2 | −$3 −56% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | No | 3 | 35¢ → 69¢ | $2 | +$1 +97% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 2 | 46¢ → 90¢ | $2 | +$1 +96% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 433d | No | 5 | 42¢ → 36¢ | $2 | −$0 −15% |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 54¢ → 88¢ | $2 | +$1 +63% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 58¢ → 93¢ | $2 | +$1 +60% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 2 | 55¢ → 88¢ | $2 | +$1 +59% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 38¢ → 23¢ | $1 | −$1 −40% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 99d | Yes | 20 | 19¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$3 −68% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 39¢ → 24¢ | $1 | −$1 −40% |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 1 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 35¢ → 23¢ | $1 | −$1 −34% |
| Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +14% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.6% |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 22¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$0 −18% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 32¢ → 17¢ | $1 | −$1 −47% |
| Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?Ends in 280d | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$0 −26% |
| Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$0 −27% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$0 −24% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 13 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$1 −64% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2 | 43¢ → 29¢ | $1 | −$0 −32% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$0 −44% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 99d | Yes | 1 | 38¢ → 56¢ | $1 | +$0 +46% |
| Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$1 −61% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 1 | 19¢ → 54¢ | $1 | +$0 +183% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Ends in 10d | Yes | 2 | 65¢ → 35¢ | $1 | −$0 −46% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 31¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$1 −66% |
| Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 249d | Yes | 12 | 29¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$3 −86% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Ends in 5d | No | 2 | 60¢ → 28¢ | $0 | −$1 −53% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 25¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$1 −69% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Ends in 158d | Yes | 6 | 20¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$1 −62% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 16 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −56% |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 2 | 45¢ → 20¢ | $0 | −$1 −56% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 40¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$2 −79% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 96d | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$3 −89% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2 | 65¢ → 20¢ | $0 | −$1 −69% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 27¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −78% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 12 | 19¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$2 −88% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 21¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −82% |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 35¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$2 −90% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1 | 28¢ → 20¢ | $0 | −$0 −32% |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 35 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −89% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Ends in 67d | Yes | 2 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$0 −45% |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 249d | Yes | 9 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −86% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 45d | Yes | 22 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −91% |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −88% |
| Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 140d | Yes | 4 | 53¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −98% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3 | 24¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −96% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 11 | 11¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −98% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −98% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Ends in 99d | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −99% |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 2 | 51¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 16¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
