| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 64¢ → 95¢ | $3 | +$1 +48% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 19¢ | $2 | +$1 +131% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 47¢ → 92¢ | $2 | +$1 +95% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 2 | 43¢ → 76¢ | $2 | +$1 +76% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 74¢ → 63¢ | $2 | −$0 −16% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2 | 44¢ → 68¢ | $2 | +$1 +53% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 22¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$0 −24% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 3 | 33¢ → 46¢ | $1 | +$0 +42% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +24% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$1 −43% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 21¢ | $1 | +$0 +14% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 15¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 44¢ → 41¢ | $1 | −$0 −8.0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 3 | 34¢ → 30¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 23¢ | $1 | −$0 −18% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$0 −21% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$0 −25% |
| US recession by end of 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 2 | 48¢ → 35¢ | $1 | −$0 −27% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Ends in 433d | Yes | 3 | 36¢ → 25¢ | $1 | −$0 −30% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 27¢ → 19¢ | $1 | −$0 −31% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 38¢ → 26¢ | $1 | −$0 −32% |
| Will Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?Ends in 434d | Yes | 3 | 39¢ → 26¢ | $1 | −$0 −35% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 43¢ → 28¢ | $1 | −$0 −35% |
| Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$0 −36% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2 | 45¢ → 28¢ | $1 | −$0 −38% |
| Will "The Odyssey" receive fewer than 8 Oscar nominations?Ends in 89d | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$0 −40% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$0 −43% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 2 | 44¢ → 22¢ | $0 | −$1 −51% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | Yes | 6 | 31¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$2 −76% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 16 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$2 −77% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$1 −54% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 23¢ | $0 | −$1 −55% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$1 −55% |
| EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 57¢ → 23¢ | $0 | −$1 −61% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 15¢ | $0 | −$1 −61% |
| Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 31 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −61% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 49¢ → 19¢ | $0 | −$1 −62% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −65% |
| Trump on $250 bill this year?Ends in 69d | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −67% |
| Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 4 | 25¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −78% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3 | 36¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$1 −81% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −81% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3 | 39¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 4 | 24¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −88% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −95% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −95% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −96% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −97% |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | Yes | 16 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −98% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −99% |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 88¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −99% |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 16 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −99% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will anyone drop an Emmy on stage?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US strike Cuba next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (October 27 - November 2)Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "The Pitt" win 10 or more awards at the Emmys?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Another Elon baby by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
