| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 132 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $128 | +$7 +6.2% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$19 +24% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 105 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $86 | +$5 +6.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 399 | 40¢ → 21¢ | $82 | −$76 −48% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 94 | 64¢ → 86¢ | $80 | +$20 +34% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 92 | 56¢ → 80¢ | $73 | +$22 +43% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 70 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $68 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 61 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $59 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 53 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $50 | +$2 +4.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 56 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $41 | +$2 +5.6% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 525d | No | 42 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $39 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 42 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $38 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 39 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $36 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 47 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $36 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 55 | 56¢ → 64¢ | $35 | +$4 +13% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 39 | 59¢ → 89¢ | $35 | +$11 +49% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 37 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $34 | +$2 +6.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 45 | 67¢ → 72¢ | $32 | +$2 +7.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 41 | 74¢ → 78¢ | $32 | +$2 +5.7% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 44 | 69¢ → 71¢ | $31 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 44 | 67¢ → 70¢ | $31 | +$1 +3.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 46 | 45¢ → 67¢ | $31 | +$10 +49% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 32 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $30 | +$2 +7.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 31 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $30 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 37 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $30 | +$2 +6.8% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 33 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 30 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $30 | +$2 +7.9% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 38 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $29 | +$2 +9.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 66 | 36¢ → 44¢ | $29 | +$5 +22% |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 32 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $28 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 28 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $28 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 31 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $26 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 260 | 16¢ → 10¢ | $25 | −$17 −40% |
| Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 70d | No | 26 | 71¢ → 93¢ | $24 | +$6 +31% |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 26 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $24 | +$4 +20% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 104 | 29¢ → 23¢ | $23 | −$7 −22% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 29 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $23 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 27 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $23 | +$2 +12% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 39 | 59¢ → 57¢ | $22 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 23 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $22 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 22 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $21 | +$2 +8.5% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $21 | +$1 +2.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 20 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 21 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $20 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 69d | Mbappé | 27 | 71¢ → 75¢ | $20 | +$1 +4.4% |
| Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?Ends in 36d | Yes | 186 | 4¢ → 11¢ | $20 | +$12 +152% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 195 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $17 | −$0 −1.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 49 | 59¢ → 34¢ | $16 | −$12 −43% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 19 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $16 | +$1 +8.2% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 91 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $16 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 79¢ | $16 | +$8 +103% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 20 | 50¢ → 80¢ | $16 | +$6 +59% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 51 | 49¢ → 31¢ | $16 | −$9 −37% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 19 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $16 | +$1 +4.4% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 18 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $16 | +$1 +9.5% |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $15 | +$1 +8.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 16 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 18 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 16 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 17 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 16 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 98¢ → 95¢ | $14 | −$1 −3.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $14 | +$0 +1.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 167 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $14 | −$1 −5.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 15 | 73¢ → 94¢ | $14 | +$3 +29% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 623 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $14 | −$10 −43% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 18 | 68¢ → 78¢ | $14 | +$2 +14% |
| Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 17 | 90¢ → 83¢ | $14 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 15 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $14 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $13 | +$0 +1.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 17 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $13 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $13 | +$1 +7.7% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 40 | 48¢ → 32¢ | $13 | −$7 −35% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 72 | 26¢ → 18¢ | $13 | −$6 −32% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 159d | Yes | 96 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $12 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 60 | 27¢ → 20¢ | $12 | −$4 −27% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 313 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $11 | −$19 −63% |
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 22 | 44¢ → 51¢ | $11 | +$1 +15% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 66¢ → 78¢ | $11 | +$2 +18% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 19h | Yes | 11 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +9.7% |
| Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 56d | Yes | 12 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.6% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 60 | 12¢ → 16¢ | $10 | +$3 +37% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 48¢ | $10 | +$2 +19% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 15 | 52¢ → 64¢ | $9 | +$2 +23% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 9 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 9 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $8 | +$1 +19% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 8 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 233 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $8 | −$6 −44% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 120 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $8 | −$0 −4.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 8 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.4% |
