| Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 60¢ → 64¢ | $13 | +$1 +7.6% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 19¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$8 +426% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$1 +15% |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 17¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$8 +482% |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?Ends in 24h | Yes | 10 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends ended | No | 10 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.6% |
| Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 57¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$4 +72% |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +29% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 34¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$6 +185% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +5.9% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.0% |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$1 +8.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?Ends in 114d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Ends in 158d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.1% |
| US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.4% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Ends in 159d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.1% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 40¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$5 +133% |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | No | 10 | 55¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$4 +68% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 50¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$4 +85% |
| Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Ends in 24h | No | 10 | 73¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$2 +26% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 281d | No | 10 | 48¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$4 +92% |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.0% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.7% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 89¢ | $9 | −$0 −4.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.1% |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | Yes | 10 | 56¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$3 +58% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 10 | 47¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$4 +88% |
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$3 +64% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$3 +43% |
| Will Arthur Jarvis win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 10 | 62¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$3 +41% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $9 | −$0 −2.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$2 +24% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 10 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 62¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$2 +39% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$1 +9.6% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $8 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 10 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$0 +5.3% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 68¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Ends in 12d | No | 10 | 46¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$3 +76% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Ends in 158d | No | 8 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $8 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 69¢ → 80¢ | $8 | +$1 +15% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 10 | 34¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$5 +132% |
| Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 24h | No | 10 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $8 | −$0 −5.4% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 90¢ → 78¢ | $8 | −$1 −14% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | No | 10 | 26¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$5 +198% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 43¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$3 +79% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 54d | Yes | 10 | 67¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 10 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 58¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$2 +30% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 55¢ → 75¢ | $8 | +$2 +36% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 8 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $7 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $7 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 10 | 83¢ → 72¢ | $7 | −$1 −13% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 8 | 78¢ → 90¢ | $7 | +$1 +15% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $7 | −$0 −4.7% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 70¢ | $7 | −$1 −14% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 70¢ | $7 | +$2 +39% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $7 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 27¢ → 69¢ | $7 | +$4 +154% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 40¢ → 67¢ | $7 | +$3 +68% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 70¢ → 67¢ | $7 | −$0 −5.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 66¢ | $7 | −$1 −7.0% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 58¢ → 66¢ | $7 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 65¢ | $6 | −$1 −12% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 25¢ → 63¢ | $6 | +$4 +152% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 62¢ | $6 | −$2 −25% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 60¢ → 62¢ | $6 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 9 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $6 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 2d | No | 9 | 68¢ → 67¢ | $6 | −$0 −1.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 30d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 60¢ | $6 | −$0 −4.8% |
| Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | Yes | 10 | 45¢ → 60¢ | $6 | +$2 +33% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 60¢ | $6 | −$1 −14% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 16d | Yes | 10 | 62¢ → 60¢ | $6 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 8 | 27¢ → 74¢ | $6 | +$4 +173% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.6% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 10 | 47¢ → 59¢ | $6 | +$1 +24% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 7 | 46¢ → 83¢ | $6 | +$3 +79% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 10 | 26¢ → 57¢ | $6 | +$3 +119% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 10 | 66¢ → 56¢ | $6 | −$1 −15% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 10 | 73¢ → 55¢ | $5 | −$2 −25% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 54¢ | $5 | −$1 −12% |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | Yes | 10 | 39¢ → 53¢ | $5 | +$1 +35% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 220d | Yes | 10 | 52¢ → 52¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 24d | No | 10 | 21¢ → 51¢ | $5 | +$3 +140% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 51¢ | $5 | −$1 −20% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 7 | 52¢ → 71¢ | $5 | +$1 +36% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.9% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 75¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +29% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 41¢ → 48¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 46¢ → 47¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.1% |
