| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 87¢ | $9 | −$0 −4.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 8 | 45¢ → 99¢ | $8 | +$4 +123% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 23?Ends ended | No | 8 | 47¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$4 +112% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | No | 10 | 12¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$7 +546% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 8 | 44¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$4 +128% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 9 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $7 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 7 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $6 | +$1 +15% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 6 | 82¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Ends in 14d | Yes | 6 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $6 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 8 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 50¢ → 65¢ | $6 | +$1 +30% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 7 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 10 | 49¢ → 50¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 10 | 52¢ → 47¢ | $5 | −$1 −10% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 47¢ → 48¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 7 | 58¢ → 60¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $4 | +$1 +25% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Ends in 55d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 4 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $4 | +$0 +8.7% |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 58¢ → 95¢ | $4 | +$2 +65% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 41¢ → 40¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 2¢ → 79¢ | $4 | +$4 +3850% |
| Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $4 | +$1 +30% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 62¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$1 +39% |
| Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$0 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 32¢ → 36¢ | $4 | +$0 +14% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 30¢ → 24¢ | $4 | −$1 −22% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 4 | 44¢ → 85¢ | $4 | +$2 +92% |
| Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Ends in 24h | Yes | 4 | 57¢ → 87¢ | $3 | +$1 +53% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 34¢ → 34¢ | $3 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | No | 4 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $3 | −$0 −4.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | No | 10 | 34¢ → 34¢ | $3 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 4 | 9¢ → 92¢ | $3 | +$3 +925% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 4 | 72¢ → 80¢ | $3 | +$0 +11% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Ends in 2d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 31¢ | $3 | +$2 +270% |
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 4 | 57¢ → 78¢ | $3 | +$1 +36% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 55¢ → 63¢ | $3 | +$0 +14% |
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 73¢ → 79¢ | $3 | +$0 +9.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 2d | No | 4 | 68¢ → 69¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 6 | 96¢ → 54¢ | $3 | −$2 −44% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 3 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $3 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?Ends in 2d | No | 7 | 39¢ → 40¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 3 | 73¢ → 85¢ | $3 | +$0 +16% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Ends in 2d | Yes | 27 | 3¢ → 11¢ | $3 | +$2 +226% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 4 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $3 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | No | 4 | 54¢ → 63¢ | $3 | +$0 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 24¢ → 28¢ | $3 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?Ends in 10d | No | 4 | 75¢ → 66¢ | $3 | −$0 −13% |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $3 | +$0 +16% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $3 | +$0 +8.2% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 43¢ → 61¢ | $3 | +$1 +41% |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | Yes | 10 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $3 | +$0 +6.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 3 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $3 | +$0 +15% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 26¢ → 26¢ | $3 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Tori launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 4 | 34¢ → 64¢ | $3 | +$1 +84% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 25¢ | $3 | +$1 +25% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 73¢ → 86¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 434d | Yes | 4 | 39¢ → 55¢ | $2 | +$1 +40% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 33d | Yes | 4 | 43¢ → 69¢ | $2 | +$1 +61% |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 3 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 10 | 34¢ → 24¢ | $2 | −$1 −31% |
| Will McKenna Grace be the live-action Gwen Stacy?Ends in 433d | Yes | 15 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $2 | −$1 −24% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 3 | 38¢ → 77¢ | $2 | +$1 +100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 41¢ → 23¢ | $2 | −$2 −44% |
| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 15 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 9 | 26¢ → 25¢ | $2 | −$0 −5.8% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Ends in 100d | No | 4 | 46¢ → 54¢ | $2 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends ended | No | 2 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 24h | No | 25 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $2 | +$0 +18% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 30¢ → 91¢ | $2 | +$1 +202% |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?Ends ended | No | 2 | 60¢ → 90¢ | $2 | +$1 +49% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 22¢ → 21¢ | $2 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 3 | 56¢ → 61¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.0% |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 4 | 29¢ → 52¢ | $2 | +$1 +80% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 11 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 72¢ → 83¢ | $2 | +$0 +14% |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 69¢ → 80¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 3 | 67¢ → 75¢ | $2 | +$0 +10% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 16d | Yes | 3 | 51¢ → 59¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?Ends ended | Yes | 4 | 38¢ → 47¢ | $2 | +$0 +22% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 19¢ | $2 | −$0 −5.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 45¢ → 42¢ | $2 | −$0 −7.8% |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 4 | 55¢ → 44¢ | $2 | −$0 −20% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 45¢ → 38¢ | $2 | −$0 −18% |
| Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 3 | 45¢ → 62¢ | $2 | +$0 +36% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 11 | 32¢ → 18¢ | $2 | −$2 −46% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in October?Ends in 18d | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 18¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 220d | Yes | 3 | 52¢ → 52¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 25¢ → 18¢ | $2 | −$1 −29% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 11d | No | 2 | 76¢ → 71¢ | $2 | −$0 −7.2% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 3 | 51¢ → 59¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.1% |
