| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 472 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $441 | −$2 −0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 128 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $106 | −$2 −1.8% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 114 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $104 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 124 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $99 | +$4 +4.4% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 67 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $60 | −$0 −0.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 56 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $52 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 59 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $50 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 49 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $46 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 48 | 90¢ → 86¢ | $41 | −$2 −5.0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 57 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $41 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $35 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 32 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $31 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 33 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $31 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 31 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $31 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 30 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $26 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 49 | 52¢ → 52¢ | $25 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 24 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $24 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $22 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 23 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $21 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 21 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 19 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $19 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 19 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $18 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $18 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 18 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $18 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 22 | 88¢ → 82¢ | $18 | −$1 −7.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 28 | 68¢ → 64¢ | $18 | −$1 −6.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 27 | 68¢ → 64¢ | $17 | −$1 −6.6% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $16 | −$0 −0.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 17 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $16 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 87¢ → 80¢ | $16 | −$2 −8.6% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $16 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 15 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $15 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 15 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $14 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 16 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $14 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $14 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 15 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $14 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $13 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $13 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $13 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 14 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $12 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 16 | 77¢ → 74¢ | $12 | −$0 −3.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 67 | 34¢ → 18¢ | $12 | −$11 −49% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 11 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $11 | −$0 −0.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 11 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $11 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 13 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $11 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Ends ended | Yes | 11 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $11 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 11 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $10 | +$2 +18% |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 12 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $9 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 19h | No | 9 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 9 | 99¢ → 97¢ | $9 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $9 | −$0 −2.8% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $8 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $8 | −$0 −5.3% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 91¢ → 89¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 8 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | No | 11 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $8 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 36d | Yes | 12 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 2d | No | 8 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $8 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.7% |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 8 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $8 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 8 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $7 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $7 | −$0 −0.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 21 | 33¢ → 34¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $7 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 7 | 98¢ → 96¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 140 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 8 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $7 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 7 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $6 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 6 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $6 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 6 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 6 | 57¢ → >99¢ | $6 | +$2 +75% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | No | 7 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 11 | 57¢ → 52¢ | $5 | −$1 −9.6% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 6 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.5% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $5 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 55 | 9¢ → 10¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 26 | 27¢ → 21¢ | $5 | −$2 −25% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $5 | −$0 −3.4% |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $130 in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 38 | 32¢ → 12¢ | $5 | −$7 −62% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of October?Ends in 6d | No | 9 | 67¢ → 50¢ | $4 | −$2 −26% |
