| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 36 | 42¢ → 84¢ | $30 | +$15 +100% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 31 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 35 | 43¢ → 66¢ | $23 | +$8 +52% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 16 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $15 | −$0 −1.7% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 15 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $14 | +$0 +2.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 63 | 24¢ → 19¢ | $12 | −$3 −22% |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 11 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$1 +10.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 11 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.6% |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 11 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.7% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 98d | Yes | 11 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaEnds in 68d | Nothing | 11 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 33 | 75¢ → 27¢ | $9 | −$16 −65% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 40 | 25¢ → 22¢ | $9 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 44 | 46¢ → 17¢ | $7 | −$13 −63% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 38 | 13¢ → 17¢ | $6 | +$1 +28% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 10 | 48¢ → 44¢ | $5 | −$0 −7.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 26 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $5 | −$0 −7.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 12 | 85¢ → 35¢ | $4 | −$6 −59% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 24 | 21¢ → 15¢ | $4 | −$1 −28% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 51¢ → 18¢ | $3 | −$7 −66% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 29 | 34¢ → 10¢ | $3 | −$7 −72% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 13 | 60¢ → 19¢ | $3 | −$5 −68% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 72 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$8 −75% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 15 | 34¢ → 16¢ | $2 | −$3 −52% |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 45 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$3 −59% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 35 | 14¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$3 −62% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 22 | 46¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$8 −82% |
| Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 16 | 32¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$3 −66% |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 38 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$3 −66% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 33 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$3 −69% |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 14 | 37¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$4 −73% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 25 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$4 −75% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 98d | Yes | 15 | 34¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$4 −76% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 32 | 28¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$8 −89% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 39¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$5 −86% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Ends in 98d | Yes | 34 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −66% |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?Ends in 68d | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$0 −38% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 13 | 16¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$2 −83% |
| Will Ryan Gosling be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$5 −95% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −83% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Epstein client list released in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in November?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the US strike 5 countries in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Nipah virus in US by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 218 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Settled - ready to redeem | Leadership Change | 9 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Justin Bieber attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 88 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
