| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 9 | 89¢ → 84¢ | $8 | −$1 −6.0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 8 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $7 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 7 | 85¢ → 78¢ | $6 | −$1 −8.8% |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 23d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.2% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.9% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 99d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.0% |
| Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.7% |
| XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 433d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 249d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V?Ends in 280d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 433d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?Ends in 433d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 5 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $5 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 175d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.5% |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.8% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Ends in 158d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos be the top Spotify album for 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 5 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $5 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?Ends ended | No | 5 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +12% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.8% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 1d | No | 5 | 22¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$3 +316% |
| Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 433d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?Ends in 88d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.6% |
| Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 433d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.0% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $5 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 67d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.1% |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Ends in 433d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 89¢ | $4 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.1% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?Ends in 35d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 365d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.0% |
| Will Eminem release an album in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 433d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Ends in 127d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 249d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.9% |
| Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Ends in 35d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Ends in 67d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?Ends in 40d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.1% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.3% |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $4 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 86¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.4% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 86¢ | $4 | −$0 −6.5% |
| Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 67d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?Ends in 424d | Yes | 5 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?Ends in 246d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 86¢ | $4 | −$0 −7.1% |
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Halle Berry as Storm?Ends in 249d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −6.6% |
