| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 669 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $641 | +$79 +14% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 634 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $619 | +$87 +16% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 598 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $584 | +$46 +8.6% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 571 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $550 | +$35 +6.8% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 385 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $371 | +$21 +5.9% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Ends in 99d | No | 344 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $337 | +$57 +20% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 330 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $319 | +$9 +3.0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 316 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $301 | +$47 +19% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 322 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $301 | +$60 +25% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 99d | Yes | 296 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $285 | +$54 +23% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 290 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $274 | +$39 +17% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 286 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $273 | +$56 +26% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | No | 293 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $268 | +$16 +6.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 283 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $266 | +$34 +15% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 289 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $264 | +$13 +5.2% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 288 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $262 | +$10 +4.2% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 271 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $262 | +$26 +11% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 270 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $262 | +$19 +7.7% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 268 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $261 | +$41 +18% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 266 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $260 | +$7 +2.7% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 318 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $259 | +$8 +3.2% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 275 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $257 | +$4 +1.6% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 58d | Yes | 292 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $256 | +$5 +2.0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 329 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $255 | +$2 +0.9% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 277 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $253 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 277 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $253 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 277 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $253 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 275 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $252 | +$10 +4.0% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 294 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $252 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 256 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $251 | +$18 +7.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 274 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $251 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 277 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $251 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 284 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $250 | −$3 −1.1% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 288 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $250 | −$3 −1.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 272 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $249 | −$4 −1.6% |
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Ends in 69d | No | 271 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $249 | −$4 −1.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 289 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $249 | −$4 −1.7% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 291 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $249 | −$4 −1.7% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 259 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $248 | +$5 +2.1% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 262 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $248 | +$12 +4.9% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 260 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $247 | +$16 +6.8% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 272 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $246 | −$7 −2.7% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 263 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $246 | −$4 −1.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 284 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $246 | −$7 −2.8% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $245 | +$10 +4.4% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 58d | Yes | 324 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $244 | −$6 −2.3% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 256 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $244 | +$12 +5.2% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 319 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $244 | −$7 −2.8% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 271 | 78¢ → 90¢ | $244 | +$34 +16% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 254 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $243 | +$7 +2.8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 251 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $242 | +$6 +2.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 277 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $241 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 69d | No | 288 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $241 | +$21 +9.4% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 69d | No | 252 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $238 | +$21 +9.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 311 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $237 | −$14 −5.6% |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 249 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $237 | +$20 +9.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 309 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $236 | −$17 −6.7% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 236 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $231 | +$9 +3.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 280 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $231 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 69d | No | 246 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $230 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 237 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $228 | +$6 +2.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 229 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $226 | +$9 +4.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 225 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $216 | +$11 +5.4% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 243 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $214 | −$8 −3.6% |
| Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 225 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $213 | +$11 +5.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 214 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $208 | +$8 +4.1% |
| Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 216 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $206 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 255 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $203 | −$14 −6.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 219 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $198 | +$14 +7.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 199 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $193 | +$4 +2.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 306 | 77¢ → 61¢ | $185 | −$51 −22% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 219 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $177 | +$7 +3.8% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 179 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $174 | +$4 +2.6% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 178 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $171 | +$16 +10% |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 174 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $168 | +$3 +1.9% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 174 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $166 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 170 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $165 | +$21 +14% |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 175d | No | 166 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $161 | +$3 +1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MD-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 164 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $157 | +$3 +2.0% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 166 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $153 | +$22 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 156 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $150 | +$5 +3.3% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 157 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $149 | +$14 +11% |
| Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 157 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $149 | +$11 +7.8% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 151 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $144 | +$11 +8.3% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 145 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $136 | +$7 +5.1% |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 139 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $134 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 137 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $134 | +$3 +2.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 142 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $132 | +$12 +9.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 138 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $131 | +$3 +2.7% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 136 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $131 | +$9 +7.3% |
| Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 136 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $128 | +$2 +1.8% |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 129 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $124 | +$7 +6.4% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 126 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $124 | +$4 +3.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 120 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $117 | +$4 +3.4% |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 120 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $116 | +$5 +4.5% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 113 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $106 | +$7 +7.3% |
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Ends in 799d | No | 115 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $106 | +$4 +3.6% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 104 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $100 | +$5 +5.4% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 102 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $97 | +$4 +4.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 94 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $91 | +$3 +3.0% |
