| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 327 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $262 | −$14 −4.9% |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 103 | 53¢ → 87¢ | $89 | +$34 +63% |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | Yes | 63 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $46 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 33 | 43¢ → 71¢ | $23 | +$9 +64% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $14 | +$2 +18% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 14 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $13 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 218d | No | 13 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $13 | +$1 +9.0% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 159d | Yes | 11 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.7% |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $10 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Ends in 218d | No | 11 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 159d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.8% |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 34¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$6 +188% |
| Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 10 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$0 +5.3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$1 +18% |
| OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 73d | Meta | 10 | 70¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$2 +34% |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 159d | No | 11 | 93¢ → 88¢ | $9 | −$1 −5.9% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Ends in 159d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?Ends in 281d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | Yes | 49 | 59¢ → 18¢ | $9 | −$20 −70% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 66¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$3 +47% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 90¢ | $9 | +$1 +8.4% |
| Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?Ends in 189d | No | 10 | 68¢ → 84¢ | $9 | +$2 +23% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$1 +7.3% |
| Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?Ends in 174d | No | 11 | 64¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 42¢ | $8 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Celonis IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 11 | 36¢ → 75¢ | $8 | +$4 +107% |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | No | 8 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$0 +4.1% |
| Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Ends in 189d | No | 9 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 8 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 250d | No | 9 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 159d | No | 8 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 73d | Anthropic | 8 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $8 | +$1 +13% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 77¢ | $8 | −$2 −20% |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $8 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 8 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Ends in 159d | No | 8 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $7 | +$0 +4.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 8 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $7 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 7 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $7 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $7 | +$0 +4.8% |
| WHOOP IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $7 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 56d | No | 7 | 84¢ → 99¢ | $7 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $7 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 7 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $7 | +$1 +15% |
| Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $7 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 7 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $7 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 8 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $7 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 8 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $7 | −$0 −4.2% |
| Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.7% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 7 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 6 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $6 | +$0 +4.6% |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 6 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$1 +12% |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$0 +6.0% |
| Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$0 +8.4% |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$0 +8.2% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $6 | +$0 +7.9% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 95¢ → 92¢ | $6 | −$0 −3.2% |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 65¢ → 95¢ | $6 | +$2 +46% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $6 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 11 | 79¢ → 50¢ | $6 | −$3 −37% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$1 +15% |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 6 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$1 +35% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 8 | 97¢ → 67¢ | $5 | −$2 −31% |
| Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.0% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 54¢ | $5 | −$4 −42% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 90¢ → 79¢ | $5 | −$1 −13% |
| Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Printr FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 43d | No | 5 | 70¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$1 +43% |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?Ends in 81d | No | 5 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.1% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 6 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 7 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Ends in 99d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$1 +18% |
| Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 5 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Strava’s market cap be at least $15B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 5 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 128d | No | 5 | 73¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$1 +23% |
| Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 89¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.1% |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 72¢ → 62¢ | $3 | −$1 −14% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 30 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $3 | −$1 −19% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 52¢ → 59¢ | $3 | +$0 +13% |
