| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 603 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $504 | −$2 −0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4,896 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $367 | −$24 −6.3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 330 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $319 | +$60 +23% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 294 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $210 | +$4 +1.9% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 189 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $176 | +$29 +20% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 204 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $158 | +$14 +9.9% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 2,121 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $141 | +$52 +58% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 497 | 78¢ → 24¢ | $117 | −$269 −70% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 131 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $113 | +$6 +5.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 118 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $111 | +$6 +6.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 161 | 65¢ → 67¢ | $107 | +$3 +2.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 106 | 66¢ → 86¢ | $92 | +$22 +31% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 143 | 59¢ → 63¢ | $90 | +$5 +6.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 770 | 52¢ → 12¢ | $89 | −$315 −78% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 81 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $78 | +$5 +7.3% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 69d | No | 80 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $75 | +$3 +3.9% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 74 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $71 | +$9 +15% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 72 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $67 | +$13 +25% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 193 | 64¢ → 34¢ | $67 | −$57 −46% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 161 | 40¢ → 41¢ | $65 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 264 | 43¢ → 24¢ | $62 | −$50 −45% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 71 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $62 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 77 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $62 | +$5 +9.6% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $55 | +$15 +38% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 57 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $55 | +$6 +13% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 68 | 25¢ → 79¢ | $53 | +$36 +217% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 54 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $51 | +$5 +11% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 58 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $50 | +$6 +14% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 51 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $50 | +$3 +7.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 76 | 34¢ → 66¢ | $50 | +$24 +92% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$7 +16% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 48 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $47 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 86¢ → 77¢ | $46 | −$6 −11% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 47 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $44 | +$2 +4.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 116 | 27¢ → 38¢ | $44 | +$13 +41% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 64 | 71¢ → 66¢ | $42 | −$3 −6.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 62 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $41 | +$1 +3.4% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 43 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $40 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 289 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $39 | +$3 +9.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 189 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $39 | −$1 −3.5% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $39 | +$4 +12% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 39 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $38 | +$3 +7.8% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | Yes | 55 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $38 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 86 | 38¢ → 44¢ | $38 | +$5 +15% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 46 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $38 | +$3 +8.3% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 42 | 66¢ → 89¢ | $37 | +$10 +35% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 112 | 16¢ → 33¢ | $36 | +$18 +101% |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 34 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $33 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 43 | 64¢ → 76¢ | $33 | +$5 +18% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 46 | 68¢ → 71¢ | $32 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 33 | 37¢ → 98¢ | $32 | +$20 +167% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 3,015 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $32 | +$5 +17% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 100d | Yes | 116 | 26¢ → 27¢ | $31 | +$1 +4.4% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 137 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $31 | −$7 −18% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 40 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $31 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 31 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $30 | +$3 +11% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | No | 131 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $30 | −$2 −5.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | Yes | 68 | 37¢ → 41¢ | $28 | +$3 +11% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 35 | 73¢ → 76¢ | $27 | +$1 +4.6% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 26 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $25 | +$4 +16% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 25 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $24 | +$5 +24% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 256 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $24 | −$9 −28% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 25 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $24 | +$1 +5.7% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 26 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $23 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 25 | 80¢ → 92¢ | $23 | +$3 +15% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 24 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $23 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 26 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $23 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $22 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 23 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $22 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 22 | 32¢ → >99¢ | $21 | +$15 +209% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 281d | No | 23 | 67¢ → 91¢ | $21 | +$5 +35% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 21 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $21 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 23 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 22 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $20 | +$2 +8.5% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $20 | +$1 +6.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 139 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $20 | −$1 −6.7% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$1 +6.1% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 29 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $19 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 23 | 71¢ → 81¢ | $19 | +$2 +14% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 250 | 13¢ → 8¢ | $19 | −$14 −43% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 83 | 28¢ → 23¢ | $19 | −$5 −19% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$2 +10% |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 5¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$18 +1753% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 108 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $18 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 205 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $18 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 19 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 62 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $18 | −$1 −5.9% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 23 | 67¢ → 78¢ | $18 | +$2 +17% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 72 | 34¢ → 24¢ | $17 | −$7 −29% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 18 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $17 | +$1 +5.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 110 | 52¢ → 16¢ | $17 | −$40 −70% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 22 | 36¢ → 76¢ | $17 | +$9 +111% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 23 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $17 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 33 | 40¢ → 49¢ | $16 | +$3 +24% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 17 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $16 | +$1 +7.9% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 59 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $16 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 41 | 35¢ → 39¢ | $16 | +$2 +11% |
| Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 16 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $15 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 18 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $15 | −$0 −2.9% |
